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Such¡¡are¡¡the¡¡events¡¡which¡¡took¡¡place¡¡before¡¡the¡¡eruption¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Black¡¡Plague¡¡in¡¡Europe¡£¡¡¡¡Contemporaries¡¡have¡¡explained¡¡them¡¡after¡¡their¡¡own¡¡manner£»¡¡and¡¡have¡¡thus£»¡¡like¡¡their¡¡posterity£»¡¡under¡¡similar¡¡circumstances£»¡¡given¡¡a¡¡proof¡¡that¡¡mortals¡¡possess¡¡neither¡¡senses¡¡nor¡¡intellectual¡¡powers¡¡sufficiently¡¡acute¡¡to¡¡comprehend¡¡the¡¡phenomena¡¡produced¡¡by¡¡the¡¡earth's¡¡organism£»¡¡much¡¡less¡¡scientifically¡¡to¡¡understand¡¡their¡¡effects¡£¡¡¡¡Superstition£»¡¡selfishness¡¡in¡¡a¡¡thousand¡¡forms£»¡¡the¡¡presumption¡¡of¡¡the¡¡schools£»¡¡laid¡¡hold¡¡of¡¡unconnected¡¡facts¡£¡¡¡¡They¡¡vainly¡¡thought¡¡to¡¡comprehend¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡in¡¡the¡¡individual£»¡¡and¡¡perceived¡¡not¡¡the¡¡universal¡¡spirit¡¡which£»¡¡in¡¡intimate¡¡union¡¡with¡¡the¡¡mighty¡¡powers¡¡of¡¡nature£»¡¡animates¡¡the¡¡movements¡¡of¡¡all¡¡existence£»¡¡and¡¡permits¡¡not¡¡any¡¡phenomenon¡¡to¡¡originate¡¡from¡¡isolated¡¡causes¡£¡¡¡¡To¡¡attempt£»¡¡five¡¡centuries¡¡after¡¡that¡¡age¡¡of¡¡desolation£»¡¡to¡¡point¡¡out¡¡the¡¡causes¡¡of¡¡a¡¡cosmical¡¡commotion£»¡¡which¡¡has¡¡never¡¡recurred¡¡to¡¡an¡¡equal¡¡extent£»¡¡to¡¡indicate¡¡scientifically¡¡the¡¡influences£»¡¡which¡¡called¡¡forth¡¡so¡¡terrific¡¡a¡¡poison¡¡in¡¡the¡¡bodies¡¡of¡¡men¡¡and¡¡animals£»¡¡exceeds¡¡the¡¡limits¡¡of¡¡human¡¡understanding¡£¡¡¡¡If¡¡we¡¡are¡¡even¡¡now¡¡unable£»¡¡with¡¡all¡¡the¡¡varied¡¡resources¡¡of¡¡an¡¡extended¡¡knowledge¡¡of¡¡nature£»¡¡to¡¡define¡¡that¡¡condition¡¡of¡¡the¡¡atmosphere¡¡by¡¡which¡¡pestilences¡¡are¡¡generated£»¡¡still¡¡less¡¡can¡¡we¡¡pretend¡¡to¡¡reason¡¡retrospectively¡¡from¡¡the¡¡nineteenth¡¡to¡¡the¡¡fourteenth¡¡century£»¡¡but¡¡if¡¡we¡¡take¡¡a¡¡general¡¡view¡¡of¡¡the¡¡occurrences£»¡¡that¡¡century¡¡will¡¡give¡¡us¡¡copious¡¡information£»¡¡and£»¡¡as¡¡applicable¡¡to¡¡all¡¡succeeding¡¡times£»¡¡of¡¡high¡¡importance¡£
In¡¡the¡¡progress¡¡of¡¡connected¡¡natural¡¡phenomena¡¡from¡¡east¡¡to¡¡west£»¡¡that¡¡great¡¡law¡¡of¡¡nature¡¡is¡¡plainly¡¡revealed¡¡which¡¡has¡¡so¡¡often¡¡and¡¡evidently¡¡manifested¡¡itself¡¡in¡¡the¡¡earth's¡¡organism£»¡¡as¡¡well¡¡as¡¡in¡¡the¡¡state¡¡of¡¡nations¡¡dependent¡¡upon¡¡it¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡inmost¡¡depths¡¡of¡¡the¡¡globe¡¡that¡¡impulse¡¡was¡¡given¡¡in¡¡the¡¡year¡¡1333£»¡¡which¡¡in¡¡uninterrupted¡¡succession¡¡for¡¡six¡¡and¡¡twenty¡¡years¡¡shook¡¡the¡¡surface¡¡of¡¡the¡¡earth£»¡¡even¡¡to¡¡the¡¡western¡¡shores¡¡of¡¡Europe¡£¡¡¡¡From¡¡the¡¡very¡¡beginning¡¡the¡¡air¡¡partook¡¡of¡¡the¡¡terrestrial¡¡concussion£»¡¡atmospherical¡¡waters¡¡overflowed¡¡the¡¡land£»¡¡or¡¡its¡¡plants¡¡and¡¡animals¡¡perished¡¡under¡¡the¡¡scorching¡¡heat¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡insect¡¡tribe¡¡was¡¡wonderfully¡¡called¡¡into¡¡life£»¡¡as¡¡if¡¡animated¡¡beings¡¡were¡¡destined¡¡to¡¡complete¡¡the¡¡destruction¡¡which¡¡astral¡¡and¡¡telluric¡¡powers¡¡had¡¡begun¡£¡¡¡¡Thus¡¡did¡¡this¡¡dreadful¡¡work¡¡of¡¡nature¡¡advance¡¡from¡¡year¡¡to¡¡year£»¡¡it¡¡was¡¡a¡¡progressive¡¡infection¡¡of¡¡the¡¡zones£»¡¡which¡¡exerted¡¡a¡¡powerful¡¡influence¡¡both¡¡above¡¡and¡¡beneath¡¡the¡¡surface¡¡of¡¡the¡¡earth£»¡¡and¡¡after¡¡having¡¡been¡¡perceptible¡¡in¡¡slighter¡¡indications£»¡¡at¡¡the¡¡commencement¡¡of¡¡the¡¡terrestrial¡¡commotions¡¡in¡¡China£»¡¡convulsed¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡earth¡£
The¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡the¡¡first¡¡plague¡¡in¡¡China¡¡is¡¡unknown¡£¡¡¡¡We¡¡have¡¡no¡¡certain¡¡intelligence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡disease¡¡until¡¡it¡¡entered¡¡the¡¡western¡¡countries¡¡of¡¡Asia¡£¡¡¡¡Here¡¡it¡¡showed¡¡itself¡¡as¡¡the¡¡Oriental¡¡plague£»¡¡with¡¡inflammation¡¡of¡¡the¡¡lungs£»¡¡in¡¡which¡¡form¡¡it¡¡probably¡¡also¡¡may¡¡have¡¡begun¡¡in¡¡China£»¡¡that¡¡is¡¡to¡¡say£»¡¡as¡¡a¡¡malady¡¡which¡¡spreads£»¡¡more¡¡than¡¡any¡¡other£»¡¡by¡¡contagiona¡¡contagion¡¡that£»¡¡in¡¡ordinary¡¡pestilences£»¡¡requires¡¡immediate¡¡contact£»¡¡and¡¡only¡¡under¡¡favourable¡¡circumstances¡¡of¡¡rare¡¡occurrence¡¡is¡¡communicated¡¡by¡¡the¡¡mere¡¡approach¡¡to¡¡the¡¡sick¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡share¡¡which¡¡this¡¡cause¡¡had¡¡in¡¡the¡¡spreading¡¡of¡¡the¡¡plague¡¡over¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡earth¡¡was¡¡certainly¡¡very¡¡great£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡opinion¡¡that¡¡the¡¡Black¡¡Death¡¡might¡¡have¡¡been¡¡excluded¡¡from¡¡Western¡¡Europe¡¡by¡¡good¡¡regulations£»¡¡similar¡¡to¡¡those¡¡which¡¡are¡¡now¡¡in¡¡use£»¡¡would¡¡have¡¡all¡¡the¡¡support¡¡of¡¡modern¡¡experience£»¡¡provided¡¡it¡¡could¡¡be¡¡proved¡¡that¡¡this¡¡plague¡¡had¡¡been¡¡actually¡¡imported¡¡from¡¡the¡¡East£»¡¡or¡¡that¡¡the¡¡Oriental¡¡plague¡¡in¡¡general£»¡¡whenever¡¡it¡¡appears¡¡in¡¡Europe£»¡¡has¡¡its¡¡origin¡¡in¡¡Asia¡¡or¡¡Egypt¡£¡¡¡¡Such¡¡a¡¡proof£»¡¡however£»¡¡can¡¡by¡¡no¡¡means¡¡be¡¡produced¡¡so¡¡as¡¡to¡¡enforce¡¡conviction£»¡¡for¡¡it¡¡would¡¡involve¡¡the¡¡impossible¡¡assumption£»¡¡either¡¡that¡¡there¡¡is¡¡no¡¡essential¡¡difference¡¡between¡¡the¡¡degree¡¡of¡¡civilisation¡¡of¡¡the¡¡European¡¡nations£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡most¡¡ancient¡¡and¡¡in¡¡modern¡¡times£»¡¡or¡¡that¡¡detrimental¡¡circumstances£»¡¡which¡¡have¡¡yielded¡¡only¡¡to¡¡the¡¡civilisation¡¡of¡¡human¡¡society¡¡and¡¡the¡¡regular¡¡cultivation¡¡of¡¡countries£»¡¡could¡¡not¡¡formerly¡¡keep¡¡up¡¡the¡¡glandular¡¡plague¡£
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