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¡¡¡¡History¡¡is¡¡the¡¡life¡¡of¡¡nations¡¡and¡¡of¡¡humanity¡£¡¡To¡¡seize¡¡and¡¡put

into¡¡words£»¡¡to¡¡describe¡¡directly¡¡the¡¡life¡¡of¡¡humanity¡¡or¡¡even¡¡of¡¡a

single¡¡nation£»¡¡appears¡¡impossible¡£

¡¡¡¡The¡¡ancient¡¡historians¡¡all¡¡employed¡¡one¡¡and¡¡the¡¡same¡¡method¡¡to

describe¡¡and¡¡seize¡¡the¡¡apparently¡¡elusive¡­¡¡the¡¡life¡¡of¡¡a¡¡people¡£

They¡¡described¡¡the¡¡activity¡¡of¡¡individuals¡¡who¡¡ruled¡¡the¡¡people£»¡¡and

regarded¡¡the¡¡activity¡¡of¡¡those¡¡men¡¡as¡¡representing¡¡the¡¡activity¡¡of¡¡the

whole¡¡nation¡£

¡¡¡¡The¡¡question£º¡¡how¡¡did¡¡individuals¡¡make¡¡nations¡¡act¡¡as¡¡they¡¡wished

and¡¡by¡¡what¡¡was¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡these¡¡individuals¡¡themselves¡¡guided£¿¡¡the

ancients¡¡met¡¡by¡¡recognizing¡¡a¡¡divinity¡¡which¡¡subjected¡¡the¡¡nations

to¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡a¡¡chosen¡¡man£»¡¡and¡¡guided¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡that¡¡chosen¡¡man¡¡so

as¡¡to¡¡accomplish¡¡ends¡¡that¡¡were¡¡predestined¡£

¡¡¡¡For¡¡the¡¡ancients¡¡these¡¡questions¡¡were¡¡solved¡¡by¡¡a¡¡belief¡¡in¡¡the

direct¡¡participation¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Deity¡¡in¡¡human¡¡affairs¡£

¡¡¡¡Modern¡¡history£»¡¡in¡¡theory£»¡¡rejects¡¡both¡¡these¡¡principles¡£

¡¡¡¡It¡¡would¡¡seem¡¡that¡¡having¡¡rejected¡¡the¡¡belief¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ancients¡¡in

man's¡¡subjection¡¡to¡¡the¡¡Deity¡¡and¡¡in¡¡a¡¡predetermined¡¡aim¡¡toward

which¡¡nations¡¡are¡¡led£»¡¡modern¡¡history¡¡should¡¡study¡¡not¡¡the

manifestations¡¡of¡¡power¡¡but¡¡the¡¡causes¡¡that¡¡produce¡¡it¡£¡¡But¡¡modern

history¡¡has¡¡not¡¡done¡¡this¡£¡¡Having¡¡in¡¡theory¡¡rejected¡¡the¡¡view¡¡held

by¡¡the¡¡ancients£»¡¡it¡¡still¡¡follows¡¡them¡¡in¡¡practice¡£

¡¡¡¡Instead¡¡of¡¡men¡¡endowed¡¡with¡¡divine¡¡authority¡¡and¡¡directly¡¡guided

by¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡God£»¡¡modern¡¡history¡¡has¡¡given¡¡us¡¡either¡¡heroes

endowed¡¡with¡¡extraordinary£»¡¡superhuman¡¡capacities£»¡¡or¡¡simply¡¡men¡¡of

very¡¡various¡¡kinds£»¡¡from¡¡monarchs¡¡to¡¡journalists£»¡¡who¡¡lead¡¡the¡¡masses¡£

Instead¡¡of¡¡the¡¡former¡¡divinely¡¡appointed¡¡aims¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Jewish£»¡¡Greek£»¡¡or

Roman¡¡nations£»¡¡which¡¡ancient¡¡historians¡¡regarded¡¡as¡¡representing¡¡the

progress¡¡of¡¡humanity£»¡¡modern¡¡history¡¡has¡¡postulated¡¡its¡¡own¡¡aims¡­

the¡¡welfare¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French£»¡¡German£»¡¡or¡¡English¡¡people£»¡¡or£»¡¡in¡¡its

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small¡¡northwesterly¡¡portion¡¡of¡¡a¡¡large¡¡continent¡£

¡¡¡¡Modern¡¡history¡¡has¡¡rejected¡¡the¡¡beliefs¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ancients¡¡without

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divine¡¡authority¡¡of¡¡the¡¡kings¡¡and¡¡the¡¡¡¨fate¡¨¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ancients£»¡¡to¡¡reach

the¡¡same¡¡conclusion¡¡by¡¡another¡¡road£»¡¡that¡¡is£»¡¡to¡¡recognize¡¡£¨1£©¡¡nations

guided¡¡by¡¡individual¡¡men£»¡¡and¡¡£¨2£©¡¡the¡¡existence¡¡of¡¡a¡¡known¡¡aim¡¡to

which¡¡these¡¡nations¡¡and¡¡humanity¡¡at¡¡large¡¡are¡¡tending¡£

¡¡¡¡At¡¡the¡¡basis¡¡of¡¡the¡¡works¡¡of¡¡all¡¡the¡¡modern¡¡historians¡¡from¡¡Gibbon

to¡¡Buckle£»¡¡despite¡¡their¡¡seeming¡¡disagreements¡¡and¡¡the¡¡apparent

novelty¡¡of¡¡their¡¡outlooks£»¡¡lie¡¡those¡¡two¡¡old£»¡¡unavoidable¡¡assumptions¡£

¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡first¡¡place¡¡the¡¡historian¡¡describes¡¡the¡¡activity¡¡of

individuals¡¡who¡¡in¡¡his¡¡opinion¡¡have¡¡directed¡¡humanity¡¡£¨one¡¡historian

considers¡¡only¡¡monarchs£»¡¡generals£»¡¡and¡¡ministers¡¡as¡¡being¡¡such¡¡men£»

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philosophers£»¡¡and¡¡poets£©¡£¡¡Secondly£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡assumed¡¡that¡¡the¡¡goal¡¡toward

which¡¡humanity¡¡is¡¡being¡¡led¡¡is¡¡known¡¡to¡¡the¡¡historians£º¡¡to¡¡one¡¡of¡¡them

this¡¡goal¡¡is¡¡the¡¡greatness¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Roman£»¡¡Spanish£»¡¡or¡¡French¡¡realm£»

to¡¡another¡¡it¡¡is¡¡liberty£»¡¡equality£»¡¡and¡¡a¡¡certain¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡civilization

of¡¡a¡¡small¡¡corner¡¡of¡¡the¡¡world¡¡called¡¡Europe¡£

¡¡¡¡In¡¡1789¡¡a¡¡ferment¡¡arises¡¡in¡¡Paris£»¡¡it¡¡grows£»¡¡spreads£»¡¡and¡¡is

expressed¡¡by¡¡a¡¡movement¡¡of¡¡peoples¡¡from¡¡west¡¡to¡¡east¡£¡¡Several¡¡times¡¡it

moves¡¡eastward¡¡and¡¡collides¡¡with¡¡a¡¡countermovement¡¡from¡¡the¡¡east

westward¡£¡¡In¡¡1812¡¡it¡¡reaches¡¡its¡¡extreme¡¡limit£»¡¡Moscow£»¡¡and¡¡then£»¡¡with

remarkable¡¡symmetry£»¡¡a¡¡countermovement¡¡occurs¡¡from¡¡east¡¡to¡¡west£»

attracting¡¡to¡¡it£»¡¡as¡¡the¡¡first¡¡movement¡¡had¡¡done£»¡¡the¡¡nations¡¡of

middle¡¡Europe¡£¡¡The¡¡counter¡¡movement¡¡reaches¡¡the¡¡starting¡¡point¡¡of

the¡¡first¡¡movement¡¡in¡¡the¡¡west¡­¡¡Paris¡­¡¡and¡¡subsides¡£

¡¡¡¡During¡¡that¡¡twenty¡­year¡¡period¡¡an¡¡immense¡¡number¡¡of¡¡fields¡¡were¡¡left

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Christian¡¡men¡¡professing¡¡the¡¡law¡¡of¡¡love¡¡of¡¡their¡¡fellows¡¡slew¡¡one

another¡£

¡¡¡¡What¡¡does¡¡all¡¡this¡¡mean£¿¡¡Why¡¡did¡¡it¡¡happen£¿¡¡What¡¡made¡¡those¡¡people

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events£¿¡¡What¡¡force¡¡made¡¡men¡¡act¡¡so£¿¡¡These¡¡are¡¡the¡¡instinctive£»

plain£»¡¡and¡¡most¡¡legitimate¡¡questions¡¡humanity¡¡asks¡¡itself¡¡when¡¡it

encounters¡¡the¡¡monuments¡¡and¡¡tradition¡¡of¡¡that¡¡period¡£

¡¡¡¡For¡¡a¡¡reply¡¡to¡¡these¡¡questions¡¡the¡¡common¡¡sense¡¡of¡¡mankind¡¡turns

to¡¡the¡¡science¡¡of¡¡history£»¡¡whose¡¡aim¡¡is¡¡to¡¡enable¡¡nations¡¡and¡¡humanity

to¡¡know¡¡themselves¡£

¡¡¡¡If¡¡history¡¡had¡¡retained¡¡the¡¡conception¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ancients¡¡it¡¡would¡¡have

said¡¡that¡¡God£»¡¡to¡¡reward¡¡or¡¡punish¡¡his¡¡people£»¡¡gave¡¡Napoleon¡¡power¡¡and

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history¡¡of¡¡that¡¡period£»¡¡nor¡¡would¡¡there¡¡have¡¡been¡¡any¡¡contradictions¡£

¡¡¡¡But¡¡modern¡¡history¡¡cannot¡¡give¡¡that¡¡reply¡£¡¡Science¡¡does¡¡not¡¡admit

the¡¡conception¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ancients¡¡as¡¡to¡¡the¡¡direct¡¡participation¡¡of¡¡the

Deity¡¡in¡¡human¡¡affairs£»¡¡and¡¡therefore¡¡history¡¡ought¡¡to¡¡give¡¡other

answers¡£

¡¡¡¡Modern¡¡history¡¡replying¡¡to¡¡these¡¡questions¡¡says£º¡¡you¡¡want¡¡to¡¡know

what¡¡this¡¡movement¡¡means£»¡¡what¡¡caused¡¡it£»¡¡and¡¡what¡¡force¡¡produced

these¡¡events£¿¡¡Then¡¡listen£º

¡¡¡¡¡¨Louis¡¡XIV¡¡was¡¡a¡¡very¡¡proud¡¡and¡¡self¡­confident¡¡man£»¡¡he¡¡had¡¡such

and¡¡such¡¡mistresses¡¡and¡¡such¡¡and¡¡such¡¡ministers¡¡and¡¡he¡¡ruled¡¡France

badly¡£¡¡His¡¡descendants¡¡were¡¡weak¡¡men¡¡and¡¡they¡¡too¡¡ruled¡¡France

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mistresses¡£¡¡Moreover£»¡¡certain¡¡men¡¡wrote¡¡some¡¡books¡¡at¡¡that¡¡time¡£¡¡At

the¡¡end¡¡of¡¡the¡¡eighteenth¡¡century¡¡there¡¡were¡¡a¡¡couple¡¡of¡¡dozen¡¡men

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another¡£¡¡They¡¡killed¡¡the¡¡king¡¡and¡¡many¡¡other¡¡people¡£¡¡At¡¡that¡¡time

there¡¡was¡¡in¡¡France¡¡a¡¡man¡¡of¡¡genius¡­¡¡Napoleon¡£¡¡He¡¡conquered

everybody¡¡everywhere¡­¡¡that¡¡is£»¡¡he¡¡killed¡¡many¡¡people¡¡because¡¡he¡¡was

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returned¡¡to¡¡France¡¡he¡¡ordered¡¡everybody¡¡to¡¡obey¡¡him£»¡¡and¡¡they¡¡all

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people¡¡in¡¡Italy£»¡¡Austria£»¡¡and¡¡Prussia¡£¡¡And¡¡there¡¡too¡¡he¡¡killed¡¡a¡¡great

many¡£¡¡In¡¡Russia¡¡there¡¡was¡¡an¡¡Emperor£»¡¡Alexander£»¡¡who¡¡decided¡¡to

restore¡¡order¡¡in¡¡Europe¡¡and¡¡therefore¡¡fought¡¡against¡¡Napoleon¡£¡¡In¡¡1807

he¡¡suddenly¡¡made¡¡friends¡¡with¡¡him£»¡¡but¡¡in¡¡1811¡¡they¡¡again¡¡quarreled

and¡¡again¡¡began¡¡killing¡¡many¡¡people¡£¡¡Napoleon¡¡led¡¡six¡¡hundred¡¡thousand

men¡¡into¡¡Russia¡¡and¡¡captured¡¡Moscow£»¡¡then¡¡he¡¡suddenly¡¡ran¡¡away¡¡from

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Napoleon's¡¡allies¡¡suddenly¡¡became¡¡his¡¡enemies¡¡and¡¡their¡¡forces

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showing¡¡him¡¡every¡¡respect£»¡¡though¡¡five¡¡years¡¡before¡¡and¡¡one¡¡year¡¡later

they¡¡all¡¡regarded¡¡him¡¡as¡¡an¡¡outlaw¡¡and¡¡a¡¡brigand¡£¡¡Then¡¡Louis¡¡XVIII£»

who¡¡till¡¡then¡¡had¡¡been¡¡the¡¡laughingstock¡¡both¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French¡¡and¡¡the

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Guards£»¡¡renounced¡¡the¡¡throne¡¡and¡¡went¡¡into¡¡exile¡£¡¡Then¡¡the¡¡skillful

statesmen¡¡and¡¡diplomatists¡¡£¨especially¡¡Talleyrand£»¡¡who¡¡managed¡¡to

sit¡¡down¡¡in¡¡a¡¡particular¡¡chair¡¡before¡¡anyone¡¡else¡¡and¡¡thereby¡¡extended

the¡¡frontiers¡¡of¡¡France£©¡¡talked¡¡in¡¡Vienna¡¡and¡¡by¡¡these¡¡conversations

made¡¡the¡¡nations¡¡happy¡¡or¡¡unhappy¡£¡¡Suddenly¡¡the¡¡diplomatists¡¡and

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which¡¡all¡¡the¡¡historians¡¡give£»¡¡from¡¡the¡¡compilers¡¡of¡¡memoirs¡¡and¡¡the

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asked¡£

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connection¡¡existing¡¡between¡¡these¡¡men¡¡and¡¡the¡¡movement¡¡of¡¡the¡¡nations¡£

¡¡¡¡If¡¡instead¡¡of¡¡a¡¡divine¡¡powe
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